PRISM shadow-live · Public scoreboard
Shadow-live (no real money at stake): the PRISM engine autonomously picks markets each day and publishes timestamps and settlement outcomes. Hit rate is a draw-experience metric, not a return promise; the engine's edge is pending cross-platform price-comparison validation (see the annual backtest methodology).
Updated 8/27/2026, 10:42:08 AM · 596 entries (549 settled / 47 pending)
- Average implied probability
- 95.0%
- Calibration gap
- +0.06%
- Cumulative prizes paid
- $270.00
- Cumulative staked
- $272.67
- Net
- −$2.67
Simulated unit stakes ($1 payout per pick, cost incl. slippage) — paper record, not real funds
- Average implied probability
- 14.8%
- Calibration gap
- +1.99%
- Cumulative prizes paid
- $24.00
- Cumulative staked
- $22.58
- Net
- +$1.42
Simulated unit stakes ($1 payout per pick, cost incl. slippage) — paper record, not real funds
- Average implied probability
- 1.0%
- Calibration gap
- -1.03%
- Cumulative prizes paid
- $0.00
- Cumulative staked
- $2.48
- Net
- −$2.48
Simulated unit stakes ($1 payout per pick, cost incl. slippage) — paper record, not real funds
Illustration: scaled to the current pool size
This block is a simulation shown for investor preview only. It applies the shadow-live realized multiples (misses included) to this week's interest budget of the pools' actual subscribed size. Nothing here was actually paid out — it is not a track record, not an official launch figure, and not a promise of returns.
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Simulated illustration only: no real funds were staked or paid; figures are not actual results, not official launch data, and not a promise or projection of returns. The engine's 365-day backtest is near market-neutral / net-negative; hit rate is a draw-experience metric.
Recent picks
Full pick history →Hit rate is a draw-experience metric; edge is pending shadow-live plus cross-platform price-comparison validation. See the annual backtest report for methodology.